A Super-Delegate Speaks

So I'm sure some of you have been to Mr. Super--an anonymous super-delegate's blog.  I've been reading his posts and replies to comments to "read in the tea leaves" and I can't come down one way or the other.  Some things I've gleaned, though, are that supers are by and large decided on whom to back.  He says that most have decided, just not declared, and the rest of the primaries may have minimal impact--unless someone wins most or all of the remaining ones.  He also had this tid-bit:

Also spoke to personnel from the national campaigns.  Both are moving forward and preparing to be the presumptive nominee.  One of the camps is preparing to push this effort to Denver if necessary.

An effort to take this to the floor of the convention will not receive any meaningful support from Supers.

This signals to me that the supers are mostly supporting Obama...

Another pro-Obama statement:

A lot of us have tried to make predictions, and today Libby Copeland struggles over the complexity of the math, which I might add can also be mind-numbing to a person like me who is one of the variables.  But it might not matter.

Because neither candidate will win a majority of delegates at the end of this nomination period, the metric likely to be used will be which candidate came closest to the magic number of 2025.

On Operation Chaos:

Myth #7 (continued).  While the Democratic Party has been attracting new registrants around the country at a record pace, some say the new registrants are just Republicans looking to thwart the Democratic nomination.

Here he vastly underestimates the damage that will be done if Clinton wrestles the nomination from the leader in pledged delegates:  

On a related note, there are also stories about voters threatening to bolt away from Democrats if their candidate of choice is not nominated.  In almost every election I've been associated with, people who are emotionally invested in their candidate - and there are a lot of emotions in this race - make the same statement.

It is understandable that it's hard to imagine having to vote for someone other than your first choice for President.  But as a Superdelegate I can say that my first candidate choice isn't going to be President, either - but I've dealt with it.

Democrats will do what it takes to bring these voters home in the fall - no matter who our nominee may be.  Because when it comes to issues, positions and candidates - Democrats are better for America.

This isn't just about candidates, this is about ideas and principles.  And there are only minor differences between Senators Clinton and Obama, while both are miles apart from Senator McCain.

What struck me as odd about this last statement is that he equates Dean losing in 2004 with Clinton asking the super-delegates to hand her the nomination over the winner of the pledged delegate race.  The two are just not the same.  I know both had ardent supporters, but the calcification of support we've seen in this primary has come about as a result of one person decisively winning while the other, well, hangs on and hopes for a coup in a backroom at the convention.